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Start
21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Atalanta - Athletic Club
2
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atalanta - Athletic Club January 21, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.
Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.70 / 2 4.89
- 1X2 market: Atalanta 54.6% / X 25.8% / Athletic Club 19.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
54.6%
X
25.8%
2
19.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atalanta - Athletic Club
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.89
market consensus · line only
X
3.70
market consensus · line only
1
1.75
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.12
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.19
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.60
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.50
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.87
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.89
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.71 58.5% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 4.90 20.4% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.08 19.7% | 4.60 21.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.20 19.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.95 51.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.05 48.8% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.18 45.9% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | — |
Match center
Atalanta
W
W
W
D
W
Atalanta
2:1
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Atalanta
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Club Brugge KV
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1
Draws
0
Losses
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Scored
0.4
Conceded
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Points
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D
D
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Wins
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
1.4
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Athletic Club
Atalanta
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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