UEFA Champions League
Atalanta - Chelsea
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atalanta - Chelsea December 9, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.38 / X 3.46 / 2 2.15
- 1X2 market: Atalanta 28.2% / X 27.5% / Chelsea 44.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Atalanta - Chelsea
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.35 29.9% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.61 27.7% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.35 74.1% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_draw | 1.70 58.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.65 27.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.13 88.5% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Chelsea
Match history
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