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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.09.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Atalanta - Club Brugge KV

World Football
Atalanta
Atalanta
2 : 1
Finished
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV

Atalanta take on Club Brugge KV on September 30, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atalanta 1-2-1, Club Brugge KV 3-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Atalanta the favourite at about 52%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atalanta - Club Brugge KV September 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 4.01 / 2 3.94
  • 1X2 market: Atalanta 51.9% / X 23.9% / Club Brugge KV 24.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7% 13 books · best price +2.2%
1 51.9%
X 23.8%
2 24.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Under 2.5 36.3%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.09.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 51.9% @ 1.84 / X 23.8% @ 4.01 / 2 24.2% @ 3.94
Match center

Atalanta - Club Brugge KV

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.96 market consensus · line only
X 4.01 market consensus · line only
1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.99 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.63 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.83 54.6%
X 4.08 24.5%
4.20 23.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0%
3.85 26.0% 3.80 26.3% 4.15 24.1% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.60 38.5% 2.76 36.2% 2.59 38.6% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.76 36.2% 2.62 38.2%
yes 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 2.03 49.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.04 49.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Atalanta
L D W D
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:4 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:0 CelticCeltic
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 3:0 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:0 ArsenalArsenal
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Club Brugge KV
W W W
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 4:1 MonacoMonaco
27.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 6:0 RangersRangers
12.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 3:2 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtalanta - Club Brugge KV

Atalanta
0 matches total
Club Brugge KV
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history