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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.09.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Athletic Club - Arsenal

World Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
0 : 2
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Athletic Club go head-to-head with Arsenal on September 16, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

The market favourite is Arsenal at roughly 52%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Arsenal September 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.55 / X 3.48 / 2 1.83
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 21.0% / X 27.3% / Arsenal 51.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2% 14 books · best price +10.4%
1 20.6%
X 27.2%
2 52.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 45.2%
Under 2.5 54.8%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.09.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 20.9% @ 4.55 / X 27.3% @ 3.48 / 2 51.9% @ 1.83
Match center

Athletic Club - Arsenal

Form 0/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.49 market consensus · line only
1 4.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.98 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.71 21.2%
X 3.64 27.5%
1.82 55.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
4.45 22.5% 4.82 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.93 51.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.74 57.5%
Match center
Arsenal
L W W
07.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 1:0 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Arsenal

Athletic Club
0 matches total
Arsenal
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history