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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
10.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Athletic Club - Paris Saint Germain

World Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
0 : 0
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Paris Saint Germain December 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.59 / X 3.92 / 2 1.73
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 20.8% / X 24.2% / Paris Saint Germain 55.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 20.7%
X 24.3%
2 55.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 56.5%
Under 2.5 43.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 20.7% @ 4.59 / X 24.3% @ 3.92 / 2 55.0% @ 1.73
Match center

Athletic Club - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.92 market consensus · line only
1 4.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.60 21.7% 4.25 23.5% 4.82 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.70 27.0% 4.12 24.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7%
1.71 58.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.82 55.0% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.75 2.04 49.0%
Over 3.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.75 1.86 53.8%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Athletic Club
D L W L L
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1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W L W W W
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Paris Saint Germain 5:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
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Paris Saint Germain 2:1 BarselonaBarselona
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4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
12 Points