Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
22.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Athletic Club - Qarabag

World Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
3 : 1
Finished
Qarabag
Qarabag

Athletic Club take on Qarabag on October 22, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Athletic Club 0-0-2, Qarabag 3-0-1. The market favourite is Athletic Club at roughly 71%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Qarabag October 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.27 / 2 8.79
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 71.0% / X 18.1% / Qarabag 10.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 71.1%
X 18.1%
2 10.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 22.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 71.1% @ 1.34 / X 18.1% @ 5.27 / 2 10.8% @ 8.79
Match center

Athletic Club - Qarabag

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.79 market consensus · line only
X 5.27 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.08 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.56 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.34 74.6% 1.31 76.3% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%
X 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9% 5.66 17.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.40 18.5%
8.80 11.4% 10.00 10.0% 8.05 12.4% 9.00 11.1% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.72 58.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.28 30.5%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.75 1.84 54.4%
Over 3.0 2.09 47.9%
Over 3.5 2.62 38.2%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.75 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.0 1.81 55.3%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Athletic Club
L L
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 1:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
16.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Qarabag
W W L W
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:0 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 3:2 BenficaBenfica
27.08 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
12.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 5:1 ShkendijaShkendija
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Qarabag

Athletic Club
0 matches total
Qarabag
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history