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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Athletic Club - Sporting CP

World Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
2 : 3
Finished
Sporting CP
Sporting CP

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Sporting CP January 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting CP.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting CP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.38 / 2 2.64
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 35.5% / X 28.2% / Sporting CP 36.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 35.5%
X 28.3%
2 36.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 51.0%
Under 2.5 49.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Sporting CP

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.64 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 2.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.70 37.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.86 35.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.48 28.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.52 39.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.65 37.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.31 43.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.63 61.4% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 2.75 2.03 49.3%
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.45 29.0%
Under 2.5 1.90 52.6% 2.04 49.0%
Under 2.75 1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Athletic Club
W D D L W
21.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 3:2 AtalantaAtalanta
10.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 0:0 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
25.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 0:0 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 0:2 NyukaslNyukasl
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 3:1 QarabagQarabag
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Sporting CP
W L W D W
20.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
09.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 1:3 BavariyaBavariya
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 3:0 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 1:1 JuventusJuventus
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:1 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points