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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid - Bodo/Glimt

World Football
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1 : 2
Finished
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Bodo/Glimt January 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.75 / 2 8.92
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 75.1% / X 14.2% / Bodo/Glimt 10.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 77.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 75.2%
X 14.1%
2 10.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 77.8%
Under 2.5 22.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Atletico Madrid - Bodo/Glimt

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.92 market consensus · line only
X 6.75 market consensus · line only
1 1.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.15 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 4.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.49 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
X 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.42 13.5% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 6.80 14.7%
8.20 12.2% 8.30 12.1% 9.45 10.6% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.62 38.2% 2.47 40.5% 2.48 40.3% 2.63 38.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.55 64.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.75 26.7% 3.98 25.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.15 24.1%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 2.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 3.5 1.57 63.7% 1.86 53.8%
Over 3.75 1.93 51.8%
Over 4.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 5.5 3.60 27.8%
Over 6.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 2.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 3.5 2.35 42.6% 2.04 49.0%
Under 3.75 1.97 50.8%
Under 4.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 5.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 6.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Atletico Madrid
D W W W L
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Atletico Madrid 2:1 InterInter
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Atletico Madrid 3:1 Union St. Gilloise
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3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
10 Points
Bodo/Glimt
W D L L L
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1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points