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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
04.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid - Union St. Gilloise

World Football
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1
Finished
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise

Atletico Madrid go head-to-head with Union St. Gilloise on November 4, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Madrid 1-0-4, Union St. Gilloise 1-0-2. The bookmaker line makes Atletico Madrid the favourite at about 77%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Madrid - Union St. Gilloise November 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 6.46 / 2 11.26
  • 1X2 market: Atletico Madrid 76.6% / X 14.8% / Union St. Gilloise 8.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%
1 76.7%
X 14.8%
2 8.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Under 2.5 36.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 76.7% @ 1.25 / X 14.8% @ 6.46 / 2 8.5% @ 11.26
Match center

Atletico Madrid - Union St. Gilloise

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.85 market consensus · line only
X 6.46 market consensus · line only
1 1.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.99 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.95 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 8.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7%
X 6.40 15.6% 6.40 15.6% 6.49 15.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.30 15.9%
11.00 9.1% 11.50 8.7% 11.60 8.6% 10.00 10.0% 9.50 10.5% 13.00 7.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.81 55.3%
yes 1.93 51.8% 2.02 49.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 4.05 24.7% 4.15 24.1%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 3.0 1.82 55.0%
Over 3.25 2.07 48.3%
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 4.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 3.0 2.08 48.1%
Under 3.25 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Atletico Madrid
L W L L L
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1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.6 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Union St. Gilloise
L L W
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1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points