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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Barcelona - Paris Saint Germain

World Football
Barcelona
Barcelona
1 : 2
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Barcelona face Paris Saint Germain on October 1, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Barcelona 1-1-1, Paris Saint Germain 3-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Barcelona the favourite at about 56%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona - Paris Saint Germain October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / X 4.39 / 2 4.32
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona 56.0% / X 21.8% / Paris Saint Germain 22.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4% 13 books · best price +4.7%
1 56.4%
X 21.8%
2 21.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 70.1%
Under 2.5 29.9%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 56.0% @ 1.71 / X 21.8% @ 4.39 / 2 22.2% @ 4.32
Match center

Barcelona - Paris Saint Germain

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.32 market consensus · line only
X 4.39 market consensus · line only
1 1.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.68 59.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%
X 4.45 22.5% 4.30 23.3% 4.61 21.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0% 4.40 22.7%
4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.71 21.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.40 22.7% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.94 34.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.93 34.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.87 34.8%
yes 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.24 44.6%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.11 90.1% 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 3.25 1.81 55.3%
Over 3.5 1.85 54.1% 2.01 49.8%
Over 4.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 5.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 1.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 2.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 3.25 2.09 47.9%
Under 3.5 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9%
Under 4.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 5.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Barcelona
W D L
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
06.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 3:3 InterInter
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 1:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W W W L
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 4:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 5:0 InterInter
07.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points