Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
21.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint Germain

World Football
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 7
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Bayer Leverkusen go head-to-head with Paris Saint Germain on October 21, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bayer Leverkusen 2-3-0, Paris Saint Germain 4-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Paris Saint Germain, an implied 57% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint Germain October 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.81 / X 4.08 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 19.9% / X 23.4% / Paris Saint Germain 56.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 19.8%
X 23.4%
2 56.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 61.8%
Under 2.5 38.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 21.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 19.8% @ 4.81 / X 23.4% @ 4.08 / 2 56.8% @ 1.68
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 4.08 market consensus · line only
1 4.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.70 21.3% 4.95 20.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.90 20.4%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.35 23.0% 4.28 23.4% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1%
1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.33 42.9% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 3.0 1.89 52.9%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.0 2.03 49.3%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
D D D W W
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 AC MilanAC Milan
19.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 FeyenoordFeyenoord
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 BarselonaBarselona
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 4:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 5:0 InterInter
07.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
12 Points