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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven

World Football
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 1
Finished
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven

Bayer Leverkusen take on PSV Eindhoven on October 1, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bayer Leverkusen 2-2-0, PSV Eindhoven 0-2-2. The bookmaker line makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at about 51%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.88 / 2 3.97
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 51.2% / X 24.7% / PSV Eindhoven 24.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0% 13 books · best price +1.6%
1 51.2%
X 24.7%
2 24.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 60.9%
Under 2.5 39.1%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 51.2% @ 1.87 / X 24.7% @ 3.88 / 2 24.1% @ 3.97
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.88 market consensus · line only
1 1.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.96 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.47 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.14 24.2% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.07 24.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.45 40.8% 2.39 41.8% 2.48 40.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.64 37.9% 2.47 40.5%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.58 63.3% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.98 50.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 3.0 2.08 48.1%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.0 1.82 55.0%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
D D W W
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 AC MilanAC Milan
19.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 FeyenoordFeyenoord
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
PSV Eindhoven
L D D L
16.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:3 Union St. Gilloise
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:1 Sporting CPSporting CP
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:3 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points