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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / X 4.15 / 2 4.56
- 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 56.0% / X 23.0% / Villarreal 21.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
56.0%
X
23.1%
2
21.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5
60.9%
Under 2.5
39.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.56
market consensus · line only
X
4.15
market consensus · line only
1
1.71
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.18
market consensus · line only
12
1.23
market consensus · line only
1X
1.21
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.72
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.18
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.55
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.41
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.38
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.54
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 3.95 25.3% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.32 23.2% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.25 23.5% |
| 4.65 21.5% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.68 21.4% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.65 21.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.51 39.8% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.52 39.7% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.15 46.5% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.22 45.1% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_draw | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.23 81.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
L
D
W
W
L
Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
Manchester City
Manchester City
Bayer Leverkusen
1:0
Benfica
Benfica
Bayer Leverkusen
2:7
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.2
Conceded
7
Points
Villarreal
L
L
L
L
L
Villarreal
1:2
Ajax
Ajax
Villarreal
2:3
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Villarreal
0:4
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Villarreal
0:1
Pafos
Pafos
Villarreal
0:2
Manchester City
Manchester City
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0.6
Scored
2.4
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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