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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Bayern München - Chelsea

World Football
Bayern München
Bayern München
3 : 1
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Bayern München meet Chelsea on September 17, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

The bookmaker line makes Bayern München the favourite at about 55%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - Chelsea September 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 4.03 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: Bayern München 54.8% / X 23.8% / Chelsea 21.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3% 15 books · best price +2.3%
1 54.8%
X 23.8%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 61.5%
Under 2.5 38.5%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 54.9% @ 1.74 / X 23.7% @ 4.03 / 2 21.4% @ 4.46
Match center

Bayern München - Chelsea

Form 4/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.47 market consensus · line only
X 4.03 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.18 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.76 56.8%
X 4.03 24.8%
4.64 21.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.05 24.7% 4.15 24.1% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1%
4.35 23.0% 4.45 22.5% 4.61 21.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.35 42.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Bayern München
D L L W
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 2:2 InterInter
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 9:2 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - Chelsea

Bayern München
0 matches total
Chelsea
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history