Match center
Start
21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Bayern München - Union St. Gilloise
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bayern München - Union St. Gilloise January 21, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.12 / X 10.30 / 2 19.06
- 1X2 market: Bayern München 85.6% / X 9.3% / Union St. Gilloise 5.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 74.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.2%
1
85.7%
X
9.3%
2
5.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
74.8%
Under 2.5
25.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Bayern München - Union St. Gilloise
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
9.66
market consensus · line only
1
1.12
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
6.35
market consensus · line only
12
1.06
market consensus · line only
1X
1.03
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
6.13
market consensus · line only
2 -1
5.18
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.11
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.13
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.26
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.74
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.76
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.99
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | |
| X | 9.40 10.6% | 9.90 10.1% | 11.10 9.0% | 9.50 10.5% | 11.00 9.1% | 9.75 10.3% |
| 18.50 5.4% | 17.50 5.7% | 24.00 4.2% | 19.00 5.3% | 15.00 6.7% | 22.00 4.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.04 49.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 6.25 16.0% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.40 15.6% | 7.00 14.3% |
| home_away | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% |
| home_draw | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.75 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 4.0 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Over 6.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.55 28.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.75 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 4.0 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Under 6.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
Match center
Bayern München
W
L
W
W
W
Bayern München
3:1
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Bayern München
1:3
Arsenal
Arsenal
Bayern München
2:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
4:0
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Bayern München
5:1
Pafos
Pafos
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
12
Points
Union St. Gilloise
L
W
L
L
L
Union St. Gilloise
2:3
Marseille
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
1:0
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Union St. Gilloise
1:3
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
Union St. Gilloise
0:4
Inter
Inter
Union St. Gilloise
0:4
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
2.8
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBayern München - Union St. Gilloise
Bayern München
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Bayern München - Union St. Gilloise breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form