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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Benfica - Fenerbahce

World Football
Benfica
Benfica
1 : 0
Finished
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce

Benfica meet Fenerbahce on August 27, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Benfica 2-1-1, Fenerbahce 1-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Benfica, an implied 57% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Benfica - Fenerbahce August 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Benfica.

Line favourite market consensus: Benfica. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.89 / 2 5.00
  • 1X2 market: Benfica 57.0% / X 24.2% / Fenerbahce 18.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3% 13 books · best price +1.8%
1 57.1%
X 24.2%
2 18.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 51.3%
Under 2.5 48.7%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 57.0% @ 1.65 / X 24.2% @ 3.89 / 2 18.8% @ 5.00
Match center

Benfica - Fenerbahce

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.01 market consensus · line only
X 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.25 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.68 59.5%
X 3.92 25.5%
5.13 19.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.95 25.3% 4.14 24.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3%
4.90 20.4% 4.70 21.3% 5.27 19.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 5.40 18.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Benfica
D W L W
20.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 0:0 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
12.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 2:0 NiceNice
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 1:3 FeyenoordFeyenoord
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica 4:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Fenerbahce
D W
20.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Fenerbahce 0:0 BenficaBenfica
12.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Fenerbahce 5:2 FeyenoordFeyenoord
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBenfica - Fenerbahce

Benfica
1 matches total
Fenerbahce
Benfica: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Fenerbahce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (20.08 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Benfica
0:0
Fenerbahçe