UEFA Champions League
Benfica - Napoli
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Benfica - Napoli December 10, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Benfica.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.09 / 2 2.89
- 1X2 market: Benfica 36.5% / X 30.7% / Napoli 32.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Benfica - Napoli
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.60 38.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.68 37.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.62 38.2% | |
| X | 3.05 32.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.18 31.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 2.88 34.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.87 34.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.06 48.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.52 65.8% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.40 71.4% |
| home_draw | 1.40 71.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.43 69.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.00 11.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.65 37.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyBenfica - Napoli
Match history
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