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Start
17.02.2026 20:00 UTC
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17.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta February 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.
Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.49 / 2 3.38
- 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 44.8% / X 27.2% / Atalanta 28.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
44.7%
X
27.2%
2
28.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.38
market consensus · line only
X
3.49
market consensus · line only
1
2.12
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.74
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.32
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.35
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.32
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.07
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.08
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.24
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.62
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% |
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.35 42.6% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.70 58.8% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.29 77.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.75 57.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.01 49.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.85 35.1% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.85 26.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.05 48.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
L
L
D
W
L
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
Inter
Inter
Borussia Dortmund
0:2
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
Borussia Dortmund
2:2
Bodo/Glimt
Borussia Dortmund
4:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
1:4
Manchester City
Manchester City
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.0
Conceded
4
Points
Atalanta
L
L
W
W
W
Atalanta
0:1
Union St. Gilloise
Atalanta
2:3
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Atalanta
2:1
Chelsea
Chelsea
Atalanta
3:0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Atalanta
1:0
Marseille
Marseille
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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