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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Club

World Football
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 1
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Borussia Dortmund take on Athletic Club on October 1, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Borussia Dortmund 2-1-1, Athletic Club 0-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Borussia Dortmund, an implied 54% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Club October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.74 / 2 4.60
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 53.6% / X 25.6% / Athletic Club 20.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2% 13 books · best price +1.1%
1 53.5%
X 25.7%
2 20.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 50.6%
Under 2.5 49.4%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 53.5% @ 1.79 / X 25.6% @ 3.74 / 2 20.8% @ 4.60
Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Club

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.22 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.87 25.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
4.70 21.3% 4.30 23.3% 4.86 20.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.70 21.3% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.11 47.4% 2.11 47.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.75 1.31 76.3%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9%
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 4.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8%
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
D W L W
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Borussia Dortmund 3:1 BarselonaBarselona
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Borussia Dortmund 2:5 Real MadridReal Madrid
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Borussia Dortmund 7:1 CelticCeltic
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.8 Conceded
7 Points
Athletic Club
L
16.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points