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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal

World Football
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 0
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Borussia Dortmund meet Villarreal on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Borussia Dortmund 3-1-1, Villarreal 0-1-3. The market favourite is Borussia Dortmund at roughly 52%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal November 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 3.81 / 2 4.14
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 51.8% / X 25.1% / Villarreal 23.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 51.9%
X 25.1%
2 23.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 58.6%
Under 2.5 41.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 51.9% @ 1.84 / X 25.1% @ 3.81 / 2 23.1% @ 4.14
Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.81 market consensus · line only
1 1.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.99 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.85 26.0% 3.94 25.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3%
4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.32 23.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.25 23.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.41 41.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.38 42.0% 2.17 46.1% 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 2.75 1.79 55.9%
Over 3.0 2.04 49.0%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 2.75 2.11 47.4%
Under 3.0 1.86 53.8%
Under 3.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
L W W D W
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 1:4 Manchester CityManchester City
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 4:2 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 4:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 4:4 JuventusJuventus
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 3:1 BarselonaBarselona
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
10 Points
Villarreal
L L D L
05.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 0:1 PafosPafos
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 2:2 JuventusJuventus
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 0:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points