AI verdict

AI pick LASK win probability ~49% confidence Low best odds 5.60

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to LASK. Full breakdown below.

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Poland. Superleague
Poland. Superleague
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
19.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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Poland. Superleague

Celtic - LASK

Football
Celtic
Celtic
- : -
Not started
LASK
LASK

Celtic meet LASK on August 19, 2026 in the Poland. Superleague.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celtic 3-2-0, LASK 5-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 LASK49%

1 · Celtic30.8%
X · draw19.9%
2 · LASK49.3%

Model estimate: win Celtic 30.8%, draw 19.9%, win LASK 49.3%. Model favourite — LASK.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celtic - LASK August 19, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Celtic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / X 4.20 / 2 5.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0% 2 books · best price +1.6%
1 59.9%
X 23.0%
2 17.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.58 → 1.58
1X2 X 3.95 → 3.95
1X2 P2 5.50 → 5.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League
Best price across 13 books
1 1.65 Bet365
X 4.23 1xBet
2 5.69 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Celtic
60%
1.60
Draw
23%
4.20
LASK
17%
5.60
Total
Over 2.5
54%
1.76
Under 2.5
46%
2.10
Both teams to score
Yes
52%
1.84
No
48%
1.98

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1
FK Vardar Skopje2
Kuopion Palloseura5
Ararat-Armenia5
Riga FC2
Maxline Vitebsk2
Uni Craiova4
Kauno3
Drita4
Banja Luka5
Levski Sofia1
Petrocub Hincesti7
Egnatia Rrogozhine2
Kairat2
Sutjeska Niksic3
Vikingur Reykjavik3
ETO Gyor2
Sabah Masazir3
New Saints2
Klaksvik3
Bissen3
Floriana7
Shamrock1
Tallinna4
Iberia5
Tre Fiori2
Larne2
Lincoln Red Imps4
IC Escaldes2
Qualification round 2
Kairat8
Omonia Nicosia5
Iberia1
Slovan Bratislava3
Uni Craiova3
Levski Sofia2
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Be`er Sheva1
Shamrock4
Ararat-Armenia1
Lincoln Red Imps3
Mjallby0
Thun4
Dinamo Zagreb3
Lech Poznan5
Aarhus12
Heart of Midlothian4
Sturm Graz2
Kauno1
Klaksvik0
Gornik Zabrze2
Fenerbahce1
Sabah Masazir1
Kuopion Palloseura2
Crvena Zvezda5
Larne4
NK Celje9
Egnatia Rrogozhine6
Qualification round 3
Union Gilloise6
Bodoe/Glimt5
Sparta Prague5
Lyon1
Olympiacos2
Nijmegen1
Dinamo Zagreb6
Kauno2
Aarhus6
Sabah Masazir1
Mjallby3
Slovan Bratislava2
Sturm Graz2
Fenerbahce1
Ararat-Armenia4
NK Celje1
Levski Sofia1
Kairat1
Be`er Sheva1
Crvena Zvezda2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 19.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 60.0% @ 1.60 / X 22.9% @ 4.20 / 2 17.1% @ 5.60
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model LASK 49%
💹 Market Celtic 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Celtic - LASK

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Celtic 59.3% 30.8% market favourite
Draw 23.7% 19.9% draw risk
LASK 17.0% 49.3% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 30.8% / 19.9% / 49.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,385 / 1,549 Celtic / LASK
RD 213 / 246 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 960-1,810 / 1,058-2,041 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 49.3%
X 4.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.60 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 30.8%
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.1%
1X 1.14 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 50.7%
X2 2.35 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 69.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.82 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.98 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.78 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.98 50.5% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.14 87.7%
x2 2.35 42.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.07 48.3%
X 2.40 41.7%
5.50 18.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Under 1 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Celtic
W W W D D
2026-08-15 League Cup 26/27, Knockout Stage
Celtic Dundee United 0:4 Celtic
2026-08-09 Premiership 26/27
Celtic Kilmarnock 1:5 Celtic
2026-08-03 Premiership 26/27
Celtic Celtic 1:0 Dundee
2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026
Celtic Celtic 2:2 Milan
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
Celtic Celtic 1:1 Middlesbrough
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
LASK
W W W W W
2026-08-14 Bundesliga 26/27
LASK 4:1 Ried LASK
2026-08-09 Bundesliga 26/27
Austria Vienna 0:2 LASK LASK
2026-07-31 Bundesliga 26/27
LASK 3:0 GAK LASK
2026-07-25 OFB Cup 26/27
Kalsdorf 0:7 LASK LASK
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
LASK 2:0 Fortuna Düsseldorf LASK
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.2 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Celtic - LASK

Celtic
0 matches total
LASK
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Celtic vs LASK start?

August 19, 2026.