AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to AEK Athens FC. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Poland. Superleague
Levski Sofia meet AEK Athens FC on August 18, 2026 in the Poland. Superleague.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 AEK Athens FC — 37%
Model estimate: win Levski Sofia 32.7%, draw 30.3%, win AEK Athens FC 37.1%. Model favourite — AEK Athens FC.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 1.87 53.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.46 68.5% | 1.49 67.1% |
| x2 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.66 27.3% | |
| X | 2.04 49.0% |
| 3.16 31.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 3 | 3.15 | 2.5 |
| Liga Stavok | 3 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
Levski Sofia
Kayrat Almaty 🇰🇿
Universitatya Krayova 🇷🇴
Borats Banya Luka (Big)
AEK Athens FC
Sint-Treyden 🇧🇪
Zvolle 🇳🇱
Vitess 🇳🇱
Full head-to-head history: Levski Sofia - AEK Athens FC
The Levski Sofia - AEK Athens FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 18, 2026.
