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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Chelsea - Barcelona

World Football
Chelsea
Chelsea
3 : 0
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Chelsea take on Barcelona on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chelsea 2-1-1, Barcelona 2-2-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Chelsea, an implied 43% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Barcelona November 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.86 / 2 2.98
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 43.2% / X 24.8% / Barcelona 32.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 43.1%
X 24.8%
2 32.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Under 2.5 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 43.1% @ 2.22 / X 24.8% @ 3.86 / 2 32.1% @ 2.98
Match center

Chelsea - Barcelona

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.86 market consensus · line only
1 2.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.67 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.33 42.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.95 25.3% 3.95 25.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7%
2.98 33.6% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.80 35.7% 2.89 34.6% 2.81 35.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 3.01 33.2%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 3.25 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5%
Over 4.5 3.50 28.6%
Over 5.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 2.5 2.65 37.7%
Under 3.25 1.98 50.5%
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8% 1.88 53.2%
Under 4.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 5.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Chelsea
D W W L
05.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Chelsea 2:2 QarabagQarabag
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Chelsea 5:1 AjaxAjax
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Chelsea 1:0 BenficaBenfica
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Chelsea 1:3 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.5 Conceded
7 Points
Barcelona
D W L W D
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 3:3 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
21.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 6:1 Olympiakos Piraeus
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
06.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 3:3 InterInter
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Barcelona

Chelsea
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history