UEFA Champions League
Chelsea face Benfica on September 30, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Chelsea 0-0-1, Benfica 2-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Chelsea, an implied 57% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | |
| X | 3.95 25.3% |
| 5.25 19.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 4.05 24.7% | 4.14 24.2% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.05 24.7% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 5.20 19.2% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.37 18.6% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.00 20.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.15 46.5% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.28 43.9% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% |
Chelsea
Bavariya
Benfica
Qarabag
Fenerbahçe
Nice
Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Benfica
The Chelsea - Benfica breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
