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Start
21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Chelsea - Pafos
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chelsea - Pafos January 21, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.
Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / X 8.99 / 2 19.11
- 1X2 market: Chelsea 84.3% / X 10.7% / Pafos 5.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 74.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
84.4%
X
10.6%
2
5.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
74.1%
Under 2.5
25.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Chelsea - Pafos
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
8.99
market consensus · line only
1
1.13
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
5.92
market consensus · line only
12
1.08
market consensus · line only
1X
1.02
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
5.73
market consensus · line only
2 -1
4.90
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.12
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.14
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.27
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.64
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.83
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | |
| X | 8.50 11.8% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.45 10.6% | 8.00 12.5% | 9.50 10.5% | 9.25 10.8% |
| 22.00 4.6% | 18.50 5.4% | 21.00 4.8% | 21.00 4.8% | 19.00 5.3% | 19.50 5.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.97 50.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 6.00 16.7% | 6.15 16.3% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.40 15.6% |
| home_away | 1.06 94.3% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% |
| home_draw | 1.02 98.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.55 28.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Match center
Chelsea
L
W
D
W
W
Chelsea
1:2
Atalanta
Atalanta
Chelsea
3:0
Barselona
Barselona
Chelsea
2:2
Qarabag
Qarabag
Chelsea
5:1
Ajax
Ajax
Chelsea
1:0
Benfica
Benfica
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Pafos
L
D
W
D
L
Pafos
0:2
Juventus
Juventus
Pafos
2:2
Monaco
Monaco
Pafos
1:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
Pafos
0:0
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Pafos
1:5
Bavariya
Bavariya
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Pafos
Chelsea
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
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