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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Club Brugge KV - Marseille

World Football
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
3 : 0
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Club Brugge KV - Marseille January 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.69 / 2 2.56
  • 1X2 market: Club Brugge KV 37.0% / X 25.8% / Marseille 37.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 36.9%
X 25.8%
2 37.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Under 2.5 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Club Brugge KV - Marseille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.56 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.53 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.96 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.48 40.3% 2.66 37.6% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.57 38.9%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.84 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.60 38.5% 2.73 36.6% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.76 36.2%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.56 64.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Over 3.5 2.38 42.0%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.38 42.0%
Under 3.0 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Club Brugge KV
W L L D L
20.01 15:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 4:1 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
10.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 0:3 ArsenalArsenal
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 0:3 Sporting CPSporting CP
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 3:3 BarselonaBarselona
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 0:4 BavariyaBavariya
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.8 Conceded
4 Points
Marseille
L W W L L
21.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 0:3 LiverpulLiverpul
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 3:2 Union St. Gilloise
25.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 1:2 Sporting CPSporting CP
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyClub Brugge KV - Marseille

Club Brugge KV
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history