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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

FK Crvena Zvezda - Lech Poznan

World Football
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 : 1
Finished
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan

FK Crvena Zvezda face Lech Poznan on August 12, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0-2, Lech Poznan 1-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is FK Crvena Zvezda at roughly 60%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Crvena Zvezda - Lech Poznan August 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Crvena Zvezda.

Line favourite market consensus: FK Crvena Zvezda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 4.35 / 2 5.16
  • 1X2 market: FK Crvena Zvezda 60.5% / X 21.4% / Lech Poznan 18.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2% 14 books · best price +3.2%
1 60.5%
X 21.3%
2 18.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5 64.4%
Under 2.5 35.6%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 60.5% @ 1.54 / X 21.4% @ 4.35 / 2 18.1% @ 5.16
Match center

FK Crvena Zvezda - Lech Poznan

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.19 market consensus · line only
X 4.35 market consensus · line only
1 1.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.55 64.5%
X 4.28 23.4%
5.71 17.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.57 63.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.45 22.5% 4.66 21.5% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.25 23.5%
5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.26 19.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 4.80 20.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.36 42.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.30 43.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.57 38.9%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.35 42.6% 2.44 41.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
FK Crvena Zvezda
W W L L
06.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 3:1 Lech Poznan
29.07 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 5:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:5 MonacoMonaco
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 0:4 InterInter
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.3 Scored
2.8 Conceded
6 Points
Lech Poznan
L W
06.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lech Poznan 1:3 FK Crvena Zvezda
30.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lech Poznan 1:0 BreidablikBreidablik
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFK Crvena Zvezda - Lech Poznan

FK Crvena Zvezda
1 matches total
Lech Poznan
FK Crvena Zvezda: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lech Poznan: 0 (0%)
Biggest win FK Crvena Zvezda 3:1 (06.08 18:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 06.08 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

06.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda
3:1
Lech Poznan