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Start
21.01.2026 17:45 UTC
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21.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray - Atletico Madrid
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Galatasaray - Atletico Madrid January 21, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.22 / X 3.73 / 2 2.13
- 1X2 market: Galatasaray 29.6% / X 25.6% / Atletico Madrid 44.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
29.6%
X
25.6%
2
44.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
59.6%
Under 2.5
40.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Galatasaray - Atletico Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.13
market consensus · line only
X
3.73
market consensus · line only
1
3.22
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.36
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.73
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.37
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.13
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.11
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.02
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.36
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.51
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.49
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.33 30.0% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.88 25.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.65 37.7% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.52 65.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.70 58.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | — |
Match center
Galatasaray
L
L
W
W
W
Galatasaray
0:1
Monaco
Monaco
Galatasaray
0:1
Union St. Gilloise
Galatasaray
3:0
Ajax
Ajax
Galatasaray
3:1
Bodo/Glimt
Galatasaray
1:0
Liverpul
Liverpul
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
9
Points
Atletico Madrid
W
W
W
L
W
Atletico Madrid
3:2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid
2:1
Inter
Inter
Atletico Madrid
3:1
Union St. Gilloise
Atletico Madrid
0:4
Arsenal
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
5:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGalatasaray - Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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