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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
09.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Inter - Liverpool

World Football
Inter
Inter
0 : 1
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Liverpool December 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.72 / 2 3.64
  • 1X2 market: Inter 48.0% / X 25.7% / Liverpool 26.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 48.0%
X 25.7%
2 26.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 58.5%
Under 2.5 41.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 48.0% @ 1.99 / X 25.7% @ 3.72 / 2 26.3% @ 3.64
Match center

Inter - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.64 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.84 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.46 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.39 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.84 26.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.72 26.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.35 42.6% 2.46 40.7% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.49 40.2% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.75 1.81 55.3%
Over 3.0 2.05 48.8%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.75 2.09 47.9%
Under 3.0 1.85 54.1%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Inter
L W W W W
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Inter 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Inter 2:1 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Inter 4:0 Union St. Gilloise
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Inter 3:0 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Inter 2:0 AjaxAjax
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Liverpool
L W W L W
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 1:4 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 1:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 5:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 0:1 GalatasarayGalatasaray
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 3:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Liverpool

Inter
0 matches total
Liverpool
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history