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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Juventus - Borussia Dortmund

World Football
Juventus
Juventus
4 : 4
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Juventus face Borussia Dortmund on September 16, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Juventus 2-0-1, Borussia Dortmund 3-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Juventus, an implied 49% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Borussia Dortmund September 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.56 / 2 3.85
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 48.5% / X 26.7% / Borussia Dortmund 24.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9% 15 books · best price +5.6%
1 48.6%
X 26.7%
2 24.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 52.1%
Under 2.5 47.9%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 48.6% @ 1.96 / X 26.7% @ 3.56 / 2 24.7% @ 3.85
Match center

Juventus - Borussia Dortmund

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 1.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.93 51.8%
X 3.66 27.3%
4.07 24.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.69 27.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Juventus
L W W
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Juventus 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Juventus 3:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Juventus 3:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W L W W
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 3:1 BarselonaBarselona
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 2:5 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 7:1 CelticCeltic
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points