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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
09.12.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Kairat Almaty - Olympiakos Piraeus

World Football
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
0 : 1
Finished
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kairat Almaty - Olympiakos Piraeus December 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olympiakos Piraeus.

Line favourite market consensus: Olympiakos Piraeus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.62 / X 4.53 / 2 1.49
  • 1X2 market: Kairat Almaty 14.5% / X 21.1% / Olympiakos Piraeus 64.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 14.5%
X 21.2%
2 64.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 55.3%
Under 2.5 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.12.2025 15:30 UTC
Market 1 14.5% @ 6.62 / X 21.2% @ 4.53 / 2 64.4% @ 1.49
Match center

Kairat Almaty - Olympiakos Piraeus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.49 market consensus · line only
X 4.53 market consensus · line only
1 6.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 2.66 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
6.50 15.4% 6.90 14.5% 6.56 15.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.70 14.9% 7.00 14.3%
X 4.45 22.5% 4.60 21.7% 4.62 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5% 4.60 21.7%
1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.55 64.5% 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 2.65 37.7% 2.64 37.9% 2.50 40.0% 2.67 37.5% 2.67 37.5% 2.81 35.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.75 1.96 51.0%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.75 1.96 51.0%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Kairat Almaty
L L D L L
26.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 2:3 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 1:2 InterInter
21.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 0:0 PafosPafos
30.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 0:5 Real MadridReal Madrid
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 1:4 Sporting CPSporting CP
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.8 Conceded
1 Points
Olympiakos Piraeus
L D L L D
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 3:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
21.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 1:6 BarselonaBarselona
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 0:0 PafosPafos
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.6 Conceded
2 Points