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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
21.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Kairat Almaty - Pafos

World Football
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
0 : 0
Finished
Pafos
Pafos

Kairat Almaty take on Pafos on October 21, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kairat Almaty 0-1-3, Pafos 1-2-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Pafos, an implied 39% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kairat Almaty - Pafos October 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pafos.

Line favourite market consensus: Pafos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.03 / X 3.19 / 2 2.47
  • 1X2 market: Kairat Almaty 31.4% / X 29.9% / Pafos 38.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 31.5%
X 29.9%
2 38.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 31.5% @ 3.03 / X 29.9% @ 3.19 / 2 38.6% @ 2.47
Match center

Kairat Almaty - Pafos

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 3.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.56 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.98 33.6% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.33 30.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.46 40.7% 2.43 41.2% 2.54 39.4% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.08 92.6% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.5 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5%
Over 1.75 1.46 68.5%
Over 2.25 1.90 52.6%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 2.25 2.02 49.5%
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Kairat Almaty
L L D L
30.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 0:5 Real MadridReal Madrid
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 1:4 Sporting CPSporting CP
26.08 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 0:0 CelticCeltic
12.08 18:15 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 0:1 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.3 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Pafos
L D D W
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:5 BavariyaBavariya
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:0 Olympiakos Piraeus
26.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
12.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 2:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKairat Almaty - Pafos

Kairat Almaty
0 matches total
Pafos
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history