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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Lech Poznan - FK Crvena Zvezda

World Football
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
1 : 3
Finished
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda

Lech Poznan go head-to-head with FK Crvena Zvezda on August 6, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lech Poznan 1-0-0, FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Lech Poznan, an implied 37% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lech Poznan - FK Crvena Zvezda August 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lech Poznan.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lech Poznan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.60 / X 3.65 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: Lech Poznan 37.1% / X 26.5% / FK Crvena Zvezda 36.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9% 18 books · best price +15.7%
1 36.6%
X 27.1%
2 36.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2025 18:30 UTC
Market 1 37.1% @ 2.60 / X 26.4% @ 3.65 / 2 36.4% @ 2.65
Match center

Lech Poznan - FK Crvena Zvezda

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · line only
X 3.65 Fonbet · line only
1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.58 38.8%
X 3.45 29.0%
2.68 37.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.55 39.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.35 29.9%
2.60 38.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.40 41.7% 1.97 50.8% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.51 66.2% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Lech Poznan
W
30.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Lech Poznan 1:0 BreidablikBreidablik
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
FK Crvena Zvezda
W L L L
29.07 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 5:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:5 MonacoMonaco
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 0:4 InterInter
19.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:2 BenficaBenfica
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points