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UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
03.08.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
03.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg

Levski Sofia - Kairat

Football
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Finished
Kairat
Kairat

Levski Sofia face Kairat on August 3, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League. Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Levski Sofia 1-1-0, Kairat 2-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Levski Sofia (odds1.58) Score 2:1 confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Levski 🇧🇴: probability 58% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.58)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levski Sofia - Kairat August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Levski Sofia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.65 / 2 5.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2% 3 books · best price +1.2%
1 57.1%
X 26.2%
2 16.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Levski Sofia
57%
1.67
Draw
26%
3.65
Kairat
17%
5.70
Total
Over 2.5
43%
2.20
Under 2.5
57%
1.68

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Champions League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1
FK Vardar Skopje2
Kuopion Palloseura5
Ararat-Armenia5
Riga FC2
Maxline Vitebsk2
Uni Craiova4
Kauno3
Drita4
Banja Luka5
Levski Sofia1
Petrocub Hincesti7
Egnatia Rrogozhine2
Kairat2
Sutjeska Niksic3
Vikingur Reykjavik3
ETO Gyor2
Sabah Masazir3
New Saints2
Klaksvik3
Bissen3
Floriana7
Shamrock1
Tallinna4
Iberia5
Tre Fiori2
Larne2
Lincoln Red Imps4
IC Escaldes2
Qualification round 2
Kairat8
Omonia Nicosia5
Iberia1
Slovan Bratislava3
Uni Craiova3
Levski Sofia2
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Be`er Sheva1
Shamrock4
Ararat-Armenia1
Lincoln Red Imps3
Mjallby0
Thun4
Dinamo Zagreb3
Lech Poznan5
Aarhus12
Heart of Midlothian4
Sturm Graz2
Kauno1
Klaksvik0
Gornik Zabrze2
Fenerbahce1
Sabah Masazir1
Kuopion Palloseura2
Crvena Zvezda5
Larne4
NK Celje9
Egnatia Rrogozhine6
Qualification round 3
Union Gilloise3
Bodoe/Glimt3
Sparta Prague2
Lyon1
Olympiacos0
Nijmegen0
Dinamo Zagreb5
Kauno0
Aarhus2
Sabah Masazir1
Mjallby1
Slovan Bratislava2
Sturm Graz2
Fenerbahce0
Ararat-Armenia2
NK Celje1
Levski Sofia1
Kairat0
Be`er Sheva1
Crvena Zvezda0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 57.1% @ 1.67 / X 26.1% @ 3.65 / 2 16.7% @ 5.70
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Match center

Levski Sofia - Kairat

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.8% fact: home hit / ROI 67.0% / Brier 0.283 / LogLoss 0.565
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.8% fact: home hit / ROI 67.0% / Brier 0.283 / LogLoss 0.565
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.67 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 1.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
X2 2.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.68 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.24 44.6%
X 2.13 47.0%
6.10 16.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.11 47.4%
Under 1 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Levski Sofia
D W
29.07 15:30 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Levski Sofia 2:2 Universitatya Krayova 🇷🇴Universitatya Krayova 🇷🇴
14.07 15:30 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Levski Sofia 4:0 Borats Banya Luka (Big)Borats Banya Luka (Big)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Kairat
W W
29.07 13:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Kairat 1:0 Omoniya (Kip)Omoniya (Kip)
15.07 17:00 UTC Europe: Champions League - Qualifying
Kairat 2:0 Suteska (Cher)Suteska (Cher)
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevski Sofia - Kairat

Levski Sofia
0 matches total
Kairat
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history