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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Liverpool - Atletico Madrid

World Football
Liverpool
Liverpool
3 : 2
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Liverpool meet Atletico Madrid on September 17, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Liverpool 3-0-0, Atletico Madrid 1-0-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Liverpool, an implied 64% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Atletico Madrid September 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.51 / 2 6.35
  • 1X2 market: Liverpool 63.7% / X 21.2% / Atletico Madrid 15.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0% 15 books · best price +9.3%
1 64.5%
X 20.9%
2 14.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 59.4%
Under 2.5 40.6%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 63.7% @ 1.50 / X 21.2% @ 4.51 / 2 15.1% @ 6.35
Match center

Liverpool - Atletico Madrid

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.37 market consensus · line only
X 4.52 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
X 4.64 21.6%
6.63 15.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%
X 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5% 4.71 21.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5%
6.60 15.2% 6.60 15.2% 6.76 14.8% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.13 47.0%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Liverpool
W W W
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 1:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 2:0 BolognaBologna
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 3:1 AC MilanAC Milan
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Atletico Madrid
L L W
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 1:3 LilleLille
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 0:4 BenficaBenfica
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid 2:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.7 Conceded
3 Points