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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Liverpool - Qarabag
6
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Liverpool - Qarabag January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.
Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / X 10.93 / 2 20.72
- 1X2 market: Liverpool 86.5% / X 8.8% / Qarabag 4.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 79.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.1%
1
86.6%
X
8.8%
2
4.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
79.1%
Under 2.5
20.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Liverpool - Qarabag
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
9.80
market consensus · line only
1
1.11
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
7.05
market consensus · line only
12
1.05
market consensus · line only
1X
1.02
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
6.45
market consensus · line only
2 -1
5.25
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.10
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.13
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.19
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
4.51
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.80
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.95
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 92.6% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.12 89.3% | |
| X | 10.75 9.3% | 9.40 10.6% | 12.10 8.3% | 10.00 10.0% | 11.00 9.1% | 10.75 9.3% |
| 20.00 5.0% | 19.00 5.3% | 18.00 5.6% | 17.00 5.9% | 21.00 4.8% | 26.00 3.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.83 54.6% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.17 46.1% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.01 49.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 7.50 13.3% | 6.75 14.8% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.20 13.9% | 6.75 14.8% |
| home_away | 1.04 96.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% |
| home_draw | 1.01 99.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.53 65.4% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Over 6.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 2.45 40.8% | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 6.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
Match center
Liverpool
W
W
L
W
W
Liverpool
3:0
Marseille
Marseille
Liverpool
1:0
Inter
Inter
Liverpool
1:4
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Liverpool
1:0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Liverpool
5:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
Qarabag
W
L
L
D
L
Qarabag
3:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Qarabag
2:4
Ajax
Ajax
Qarabag
0:2
Napoli
Napoli
Qarabag
2:2
Chelsea
Chelsea
Qarabag
1:3
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
2.6
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Qarabag
Liverpool
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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