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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
04.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Liverpool - Real Madrid

World Football
Liverpool
Liverpool
1 : 0
Finished
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Liverpool face Real Madrid on November 4, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Liverpool 4-0-1, Real Madrid 3-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Liverpool the favourite at about 39%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Real Madrid November 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 3.94 / 2 2.63
  • 1X2 market: Liverpool 39.4% / X 24.3% / Real Madrid 36.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 39.5%
X 24.2%
2 36.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 68.2%
Under 2.5 31.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 39.5% @ 2.42 / X 24.2% @ 3.94 / 2 36.3% @ 2.63
Match center

Liverpool - Real Madrid

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.94 market consensus · line only
1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.44 41.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%
X 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1%
2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 3.31 30.2%
yes 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.12 89.3% 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 2.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 3.25 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.5 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
Over 4.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 5.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 1.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 2.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 3.25 2.03 49.3%
Under 3.5 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
Under 4.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 5.5 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Liverpool
W L W W W
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 5:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 0:1 GalatasarayGalatasaray
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 3:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 1:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 2:0 BolognaBologna
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Real Madrid
W W W L
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid 1:0 JuventusJuventus
30.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid 5:0 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid 2:1 MarseilleMarseille
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid 1:2 ArsenalArsenal
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Real Madrid

Liverpool
0 matches total
Real Madrid
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history