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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.07.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Malmo FF - Rīgas FS

World Football
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Finished
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS

Malmo FF meet Rīgas FS on July 30, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Malmo FF 2-0-0, Rīgas FS 1-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Malmo FF at roughly 68%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Malmo FF - Rīgas FS July 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malmo FF.

Line favourite Fonbet: Malmo FF. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 5.00 / 2 7.60
  • 1X2 market: Malmo FF 68.3% / X 19.1% / Rīgas FS 12.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 18 books · best price +2.9%
1 68.2%
X 19.2%
2 12.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 61.3%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2025 17:00 UTC
Market 1 68.3% @ 1.40 / X 19.1% @ 5.00 / 2 12.6% @ 7.60
Match center

Malmo FF - Rīgas FS

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · line only
X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.95 Fonbet · line only
12 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 6.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.35 74.1%
X 4.84 20.7%
6.72 14.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.35 74.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9%
X 4.75 21.1% 5.40 18.5% 5.01 20.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.85 20.6%
7.50 13.3% 8.40 11.9% 8.60 11.6% 7.50 13.3% 7.00 14.3% 6.80 14.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 3.00 33.3% 3.11 32.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Malmo FF
W W
22.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Malmo FF 4:1 Rīgas FSRīgas FS
15.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Malmo FF 3:1 SaburtaloSaburtalo
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Rīgas FS
L W
22.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Rīgas FS 1:4 Malmo FF
15.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Rīgas FS 1:0 FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMalmo FF - Rīgas FS

Malmo FF
1 matches total
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rīgas FS: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Malmo FF 4:1 (22.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 22.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

22.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Malmo FF
4:1
Rīgas FS