UEFA Champions League
Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen
Manchester City go head-to-head with Bayer Leverkusen on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Manchester City 4-1-0, Bayer Leverkusen 1-3-1. The bookmaker line makes Manchester City the favourite at about 75%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen November 25, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.19 / 2 10.06
- 1X2 market: Manchester City 75.1% / X 15.4% / Bayer Leverkusen 9.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 70.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Manchester City - Bayer Leverkusen
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 79.4% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.31 76.3% | |
| X | 5.70 17.5% | 6.30 15.9% | 6.47 15.5% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.20 16.1% |
| 11.00 9.1% | 9.60 10.4% | 10.80 9.3% | 10.00 10.0% | 9.00 11.1% | 10.00 10.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.18 45.9% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.70 27.0% | 3.88 25.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.88 25.8% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.06 94.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Over 3.75 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.20 31.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Under 3.75 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Manchester City
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Bayer Leverkusen
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Stade Brestois 29
Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Bayer Leverkusen
Match history
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form