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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund

World Football
Manchester City
Manchester City
4 : 1
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Manchester City face Borussia Dortmund on November 5, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Manchester City 4-1-0, Borussia Dortmund 3-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Manchester City the favourite at about 67%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund November 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 5.09 / 2 6.89
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 67.4% / X 18.7% / Borussia Dortmund 13.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 67.5%
X 18.7%
2 13.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 64.6%
Under 2.5 35.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 67.5% @ 1.41 / X 18.7% @ 5.09 / 2 13.8% @ 6.89
Match center

Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.89 market consensus · line only
X 5.09 market consensus · line only
1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.92 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.96 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.18 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.40 71.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4%
X 4.90 20.4% 5.10 19.6% 5.31 18.8% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.30 18.9%
6.80 14.7% 5.70 17.5% 7.55 13.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.20 13.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.42 41.3% 2.13 47.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.11 47.4% 2.24 44.6%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.85 35.1% 3.02 33.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.95 33.9% 3.02 33.1%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5% 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.0 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.25 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.44 69.4%
Over 3.25 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 4.5 3.45 29.0%
Over 5.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 3.25 1.98 50.5%
Under 3.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 5.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Manchester City
W D W W W
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 2:2 MonacoMonaco
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 2:0 NapoliNapoli
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 5:0 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 4:0 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W W D W
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 4:2 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 4:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 4:4 JuventusJuventus
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund 3:1 BarselonaBarselona
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
10 Points