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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Manchester City - Galatasaray
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Manchester City - Galatasaray January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 7.20 / 2 10.24
- 1X2 market: Manchester City 77.3% / X 13.3% / Galatasaray 9.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 77.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
77.5%
X
13.2%
2
9.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
77.2%
Under 2.5
22.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Manchester City - Galatasaray
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.56
market consensus · line only
X
7.20
market consensus · line only
1
1.23
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.15
market consensus · line only
12
1.10
market consensus · line only
1X
1.06
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.08
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.42
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.21
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.29
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.22
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
4.13
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.32
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.57
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | |
| X | 6.80 14.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.60 13.2% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.00 14.3% |
| 8.90 11.2% | 10.50 9.5% | 9.65 10.4% | 9.50 10.5% | 10.00 10.0% | 13.00 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.30 43.5% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.90 25.6% | 4.08 24.5% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.15 24.1% |
| home_away | 1.05 95.2% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 3.75 | — | 2.01 49.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 3.75 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
Match center
Manchester City
L
W
L
W
W
Manchester City
1:3
Bodo/Glimt
Manchester City
2:1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Manchester City
0:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Manchester City
4:1
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
9
Points
Galatasaray
D
L
L
W
W
Galatasaray
1:1
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
Galatasaray
0:1
Monaco
Monaco
Galatasaray
0:1
Union St. Gilloise
Galatasaray
3:0
Ajax
Ajax
Galatasaray
3:1
Bodo/Glimt
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyManchester City - Galatasaray
Manchester City
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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