UEFA Champions League
Marseille take on Ajax on September 30, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Marseille 0-0-1, Ajax 0-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Marseille the favourite at about 63%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 4.46 22.4% |
| 6.07 16.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.51 66.2% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 4.55 22.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.76 21.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.75 21.1% |
| 5.70 17.5% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.94 16.8% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.20 16.1% | 5.50 18.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.50 40.0% | 2.58 38.8% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.60 38.5% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_draw | 1.13 88.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% |
Marseille
Real Madrid
Ajax
Inter
Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Ajax
The Marseille - Ajax breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
