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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Marseille - Atalanta

World Football
Marseille
Marseille
0 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Marseille go head-to-head with Atalanta on November 5, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marseille 1-0-2, Atalanta 2-2-1. The bookmaker line makes Marseille the favourite at about 39%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Atalanta November 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.46 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 39.2% / X 27.5% / Atalanta 33.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 39.1%
X 27.6%
2 33.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 39.1% @ 2.44 / X 27.6% @ 3.46 / 2 33.3% @ 2.87
Match center

Marseille - Atalanta

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.24 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.50 40.0% 2.19 45.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.70 27.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
2.78 36.0% 3.15 31.8% 2.99 33.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.47 40.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.31 43.3%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 2.75 1.85 54.1%
Over 3.0 2.08 48.1%
Over 3.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 4.5 5.50 18.2%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.70 27.0%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 2.75 2.05 48.8%
Under 3.0 1.82 55.0%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Marseille
L W L
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 1:2 Sporting CPSporting CP
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 4:0 AjaxAjax
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Atalanta
D W L D W
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:0 Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
30.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 2:1 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:4 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:0 CelticCeltic
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 3:0 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Atalanta

Marseille
0 matches total
Atalanta
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history