UEFA Champions League
Marseille - Newcastle
Marseille meet Newcastle on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Marseille 1-0-3, Newcastle 3-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Newcastle, an implied 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marseille - Newcastle November 25, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.96 / X 3.39 / 2 2.40
- 1X2 market: Marseille 32.2% / X 28.1% / Newcastle 39.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Marseille - Newcastle
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.94 34.0% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.06 32.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.95 33.9% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.35 29.9% |
| 2.34 42.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.36 42.4% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.38 72.5% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.43 69.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.90 34.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.80 26.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Newcastle
Match history
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