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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Marseille - Newcastle

World Football
Marseille
Marseille
2 : 1
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Marseille meet Newcastle on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marseille 1-0-3, Newcastle 3-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Newcastle, an implied 40% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marseille - Newcastle November 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.96 / X 3.39 / 2 2.40
  • 1X2 market: Marseille 32.2% / X 28.1% / Newcastle 39.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 32.2%
X 28.1%
2 39.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 32.2% @ 2.96 / X 28.1% @ 3.39 / 2 39.7% @ 2.40
Match center

Marseille - Newcastle

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 2.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.26 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.94 34.0% 2.95 33.9% 3.06 32.7% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.75 2.03 49.3%
Over 3.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.80 26.3%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.75 1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Marseille
L L W L
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 1:2 Sporting CPSporting CP
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 4:0 AjaxAjax
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Newcastle
W W W L
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 3:0 BenficaBenfica
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 4:0 Union St. Gilloise
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarseille - Newcastle

Marseille
0 matches total
Newcastle
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history