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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
09.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Monaco - Galatasaray

World Football
Monaco
Monaco
1 : 0
Finished
Galatasaray
Galatasaray

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Galatasaray December 9, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.89 / 2 3.54
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 48.4% / X 24.6% / Galatasaray 27.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 48.3%
X 24.6%
2 27.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Under 2.5 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 48.3% @ 1.98 / X 24.6% @ 3.89 / 2 27.0% @ 3.54
Match center

Monaco - Galatasaray

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.54 market consensus · line only
X 3.89 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6%
3.55 28.2% 3.55 28.2% 3.62 27.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.80 35.7% 2.86 35.0% 2.77 36.1% 2.62 38.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.72 36.8% 2.95 33.9% 2.85 35.1%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.75 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.5 1.44 69.4%
Over 3.25 1.89 52.9%
Over 3.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 4.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 5.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 1.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 3.25 2.01 49.8%
Under 3.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 4.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 5.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Monaco
D W D D L
26.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 2:2 PafosPafos
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 1:0 Bodo/Glimt
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 0:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 2:2 Manchester CityManchester City
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 1:4 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Galatasaray
L W W W L
25.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 0:1 Union St. Gilloise
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 3:0 AjaxAjax
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 3:1 Bodo/Glimt
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 1:0 LiverpulLiverpul
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 1:5 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Galatasaray

Monaco
0 matches total
Galatasaray
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history