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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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UEFA Champions League
Monaco - Juventus
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monaco - Juventus January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.
Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.21 / X 3.77 / 2 1.84
- 1X2 market: Monaco 22.8% / X 25.3% / Juventus 51.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
22.7%
X
25.4%
2
51.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
59.1%
Under 2.5
40.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Monaco - Juventus
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.84
market consensus · line only
X
3.77
market consensus · line only
1
4.21
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.23
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
2.01
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.25
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.05
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.79
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.41
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.34
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.34
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 25.0% | 3.30 30.3% | 4.57 21.9% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.40 22.7% | |
| X | 3.75 26.7% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.86 25.9% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 1.81 55.3% | 2.14 46.7% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.48 40.3% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.23 81.3% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.04 49.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Match center
Monaco
L
W
D
W
D
Monaco
1:6
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Monaco
1:0
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Monaco
2:2
Pafos
Pafos
Monaco
1:0
Bodo/Glimt
Monaco
0:0
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
8
Points
Juventus
W
W
W
D
L
Juventus
2:0
Benfica
Benfica
Juventus
2:0
Pafos
Pafos
Juventus
3:2
Bodo/Glimt
Juventus
1:1
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Juventus
0:1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Juventus
Monaco
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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