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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Monaco - Manchester City

World Football
Monaco
Monaco
2 : 2
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Monaco take on Manchester City on October 1, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monaco 2-1-1, Manchester City 3-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Manchester City the favourite at about 69%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Manchester City October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.36 / X 5.41 / 2 1.38
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 13.1% / X 17.7% / Manchester City 69.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0% 13 books · best price +9.6%
1 12.6%
X 17.4%
2 70.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 68.8%
Under 2.5 31.2%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 13.0% @ 7.36 / X 17.7% @ 5.41 / 2 69.3% @ 1.38
Match center

Monaco - Manchester City

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.38 market consensus · line only
X 5.41 market consensus · line only
1 7.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 3.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.38 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.31 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
7.50 13.3% 5.90 17.0% 7.95 12.6% 5.75 17.4% 7.60 13.2% 8.00 12.5%
X 5.40 18.5% 4.90 20.4% 5.63 17.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.60 17.9% 5.50 18.2%
1.34 74.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.43 41.2% 2.28 43.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.46 40.7% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.09 91.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 3.10 32.3% 3.19 31.4% 2.62 38.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.24 30.9% 3.33 30.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.5 1.36 73.5%
Over 3.0 1.85 54.1%
Over 3.25 1.93 51.8%
Over 3.5 1.93 51.8% 2.14 46.7%
Over 4.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 5.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 2.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 3.0 2.05 48.8%
Under 3.25 1.97 50.8%
Under 3.5 1.85 54.1% 1.76 56.8%
Under 4.5 1.36 73.5%
Under 5.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Monaco
L W D W
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 1:4 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 5:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 2:2 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 2:1 BarselonaBarselona
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Manchester City
W W W D
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 2:0 NapoliNapoli
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 5:0 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 4:0 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 0:0 InterInter
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Manchester City

Monaco
0 matches total
Manchester City
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history