UEFA Champions League
Napoli - Qarabag
Napoli take on Qarabag on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 1-1-2, Qarabag 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 75% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Napoli - Qarabag November 25, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.02 / 2 10.81
- 1X2 market: Napoli 75.3% / X 15.9% / Qarabag 8.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 63.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Napoli - Qarabag
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | |
| X | 5.80 17.2% | 6.30 15.9% | 6.20 16.1% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.75 17.4% | 6.20 16.1% |
| 10.25 9.8% | 10.50 9.5% | 11.60 8.6% | 10.00 10.0% | 12.00 8.3% | 11.00 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.93 51.8% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.92 52.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.75 26.7% | 3.88 25.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.05 24.7% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_draw | 1.04 96.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Qarabag
Match history
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