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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Napoli - Qarabag

World Football
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 0
Finished
Qarabag
Qarabag

Napoli take on Qarabag on November 25, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 1-1-2, Qarabag 2-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 75% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Qarabag November 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.02 / 2 10.81
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 75.3% / X 15.9% / Qarabag 8.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 75.3%
X 15.9%
2 8.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Under 2.5 36.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 75.3% @ 1.27 / X 15.9% @ 6.02 / 2 8.8% @ 10.81
Match center

Napoli - Qarabag

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.75 market consensus · line only
X 6.02 market consensus · line only
1 1.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.86 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.03 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
X 5.80 17.2% 6.30 15.9% 6.20 16.1% 5.75 17.4% 5.75 17.4% 6.20 16.1%
10.25 9.8% 10.50 9.5% 11.60 8.6% 10.00 10.0% 12.00 8.3% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 4.05 24.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Over 3.25 1.97 50.8%
Over 3.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 4.5 3.75 26.7%
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 3.0 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.25 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Napoli
D L W L
04.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Napoli 0:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Napoli 2:6 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Napoli 2:1 Sporting CPSporting CP
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Napoli 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Qarabag
D L W W L
05.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:0 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 3:2 BenficaBenfica
27.08 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Qarabag

Napoli
0 matches total
Qarabag
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history