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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Napoli - Sporting CP

World Football
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 1
Finished
Sporting CP
Sporting CP

Napoli take on Sporting CP on October 1, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 0-0-1, Sporting CP 3-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Sporting CP October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.54 / 2 4.17
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 50.1% / X 27.0% / Sporting CP 22.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7% 13 books · best price +2.6%
1 50.1%
X 27.1%
2 22.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 50.6%
Under 2.5 49.4%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 50.1% @ 1.91 / X 27.0% @ 3.54 / 2 22.9% @ 4.17
Match center

Napoli - Sporting CP

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.50 28.6%
4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 4.5 6.00 16.7%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.50 28.6%
Under 2.5 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Napoli
L
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Napoli 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sporting CP
W W D W
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 4:1 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:0 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:0 LilleLille
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Sporting CP

Napoli
0 matches total
Sporting CP
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history