UEFA Champions League
Napoli - Sporting CP
Napoli take on Sporting CP on October 1, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 0-0-1, Sporting CP 3-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Napoli - Sporting CP October 1, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.54 / 2 4.17
- 1X2 market: Napoli 50.1% / X 27.0% / Sporting CP 22.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Napoli - Sporting CP
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.91 52.4% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.20 23.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.01 49.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | 1.26 79.4% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.00 16.7% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.00 11.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Sporting CP
Match history
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