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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Newcastle - Athletic Club

World Football
Newcastle
Newcastle
2 : 0
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Newcastle go head-to-head with Athletic Club on November 5, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Newcastle 2-0-1, Athletic Club 1-0-2. The bookmaker line makes Newcastle the favourite at about 69%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Athletic Club November 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 4.79 / 2 8.99
  • 1X2 market: Newcastle 69.4% / X 20.0% / Athletic Club 10.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 69.4%
X 20.0%
2 10.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 52.3%
Under 2.5 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 69.4% @ 1.38 / X 20.0% @ 4.79 / 2 10.6% @ 8.99
Match center

Newcastle - Athletic Club

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.99 market consensus · line only
X 4.79 market consensus · line only
1 1.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.02 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.35 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.60 21.7% 5.13 19.5% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.85 20.6%
9.30 10.8% 8.30 12.1% 9.30 10.8% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.82 55.0% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.15 46.5% 1.99 50.3% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.28 30.5%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 2.75 2.01 49.8%
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.65 27.4%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3%
Under 2.75 1.89 52.9%
Under 3.5 1.36 73.5%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Newcastle
W W L
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 3:0 BenficaBenfica
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 4:0 Union St. Gilloise
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
6 Points
Athletic Club
W L L
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 3:1 QarabagQarabag
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 1:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
16.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Athletic Club 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.3 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Athletic Club

Newcastle
0 matches total
Athletic Club
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history